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Russia said it cracked down on several Ukrainian military equipment and repulsed Russia's multi-directional attacks. The Russian Defense Ministry issued a war report on the 12th, saying that in the past day, Russian armed forces killed and wounded 1,345 Ukrainian troops and destroyed many Ukrainian military equipment including tanks, armored vehicles and American howitzers. Russian air defense forces shot down four American-made "Haima" rockets and 37 drones of the Ukrainian army. In addition, Russian troops also controlled the "Zarija" settlement in Donetsk. According to the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, there were 203 battles in the frontline area in the past day, and the situation on the frontline remained grim. The Ukrainian air force, missile units and artillery units destroyed many Russian military personnel assembly areas and control points. In the direction of Kharkov, Pokrovsk and Kulahovo, the Ukrainian army repelled many Russian attacks. In addition, the Ukrainian army continued to carry out operations in the Kursk region.Middle East Stock Market | On Thursday (December 12th), the all-share index of Saudi Stock Exchange closed down 0.41% to 12,099.33 points, up 1.40% this week. ARAMCO.AB closed down 0.35% to 28.45 Saudi riyals, up 1.79% this week. Albilad Southern Dongying MSCI Hong Kong China ETF listed in Saudi Arabia closed up 1.03% to 9.78 Saudi riyals, up 3.82% this week.Leader of the Houthi Movement: We cooperated with Islamic resistance organizations and conducted joint actions against Israel. The Support Front took action this week against occupied Jaffa, Ashdod and Ashkelon.

ECB source: A few policy makers initially agreed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points.Shell Ocean Company: It is estimated that in 2026, two wells of PERDIDO SPAR operated by Shell in the Gulf of Mexico will be put into production for the first time.ECB sources: Some people think that the ECB overestimates economic growth. In the case of Trump's tariff increase, the economic growth next year may be less than 1%.

Precious metal futures continued to fall, and the main contract of Shanghai Bank fell by nearly 2%, and it is now reported at 7798 yuan/kg; The main contract of Shanghai Gold fell by nearly 1% and is now reported at 623.08 yuan/gram.The Brazilian central bank raised its benchmark interest rate to 12.25% for the third time this year. On the 11th, local time, the Monetary Policy Committee of the Brazilian central bank announced that it had decided to raise its benchmark interest rate to 12.25%, which is the third time that the Brazilian central bank raised interest rates this year. Brazil's central bank said that the interest rate hike was affected by international uncertainties and Brazil's domestic economic policies, and it is expected that the benchmark interest rate will be raised again in January and March next year. Since August last year, the Brazilian central bank cut interest rates seven times in a row, stopped cutting interest rates in June this year, and then raised the benchmark interest rate three times in a row. After this adjustment, Brazil's benchmark interest rate at the end of 2024 was the same as that at the end of 2023, which was 12.25%. The latest "Focus" bulletin of the Brazilian central bank raised the expected inflation rate to 4.84% in 2024, which is higher than the upper limit of the country's inflation rate management target of 4.5% from 2024 to 2026.CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report believes that the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing. On the whole, the policy level is fully aware of the grim situation that external pressure may increase significantly within next year, and has put forward a series of requirements such as stable growth, stable prices, stable employment and stable people's livelihood. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the amount of financial instruments supporting the real economy will be comprehensively increased, the government's disposable financial resources will be significantly improved, and the fiscal expenditure structure will be tilted to the marginal consumption of people's livelihood. From the perspective of monetary policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. We expect the reverse repo rate to drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more.